12 Comments
User's avatar
marie provine's avatar

John, I don’t know how you do it, trotting around the world trying to keep us from our most insidious and ridiculous errors. You’re a national treasure

marcos's avatar

People with power rarely want to be told the truth and often times rage at anyone who "rolls their own" using observation, analysis and theory development. Either you are 100% on the team or you are the enemy in US tribal politics.

A good theory should describe and predict, but as Marx also said, a radical theory should provide a path of action to change the world. Many in power wish to conceal what's going on, want to mislead to evade predictability and, most critically, have no interest in changing the world that's working so well for them except to follow their own theories of power.

In local progressive politics in San Francisco, where as a volunteer I'd marked up progressive victories on affordable housing and police reform, I've become a Cassandra who predicted most outcomes, which worked out poorly for progressives, so I got blamed for naming the problem as if I'd wanted progressives to fail and crypto swindler to take over our politics and excommunicated.

Didn't Henry Kissinger say something like experts were those who were able to articulate the desires of those in power?

marcos's avatar

I like to use physics and mathematics metaphors for politics. In the case of theory, the analogy of vector equivalence classes is useful. Equivalence classes say that vectors are equivalent if they are of the same magnitude and direction no matter where they are in space.

With theory being an approximation of the dynamics of political forces at work in a problem space where not all is known, there can likewise be an equivalence class of theories that take similar but different routes to arrive at politically similar outcomes, with various tradeoffs.

It is this resistance to other approaches that forestalls any feedback from stimuli once a theory is unleashed in the wild in this tribal political context. With feedback denied, there can be no learning, only repeated error and failure. The more power doubles down on a faulty theory, the deeper the hole they dig.

When smart people get paid good money to not learn and make the same errors over and again, then like everything in politics, that is no accident. At the end of the day, theory is great, but organized numbers of people is the only thing that can bring uncountable well resourced power to heel.

Any Person's avatar

You may like Rudy Rummel's Conflict Helix.

https://www.hawaii.edu/powerkills/CONFLICT.HTM

I have not delved deeply into his complete works, but the bits I have were revelatory.

https://www.hawaii.edu/powerkills/TCH.CHAP20.HTM

Andrew's avatar

1st encounter w/Minister Wirjawan; this is an engaged intellect!

The discussion of "transnational élites" is a very good screen for talking about our everlovin' GLOBAL rulers. It gives Prof. Mearshimer a polite idiom for discussing class dynamics without using the naughty "c-word," particularly in an international context. Between them, they tease apart some delicate distinctions in Gulf, Gulf families', Arab/Persian and internal Iranian relations to better illuminate the myriad ways the West

F A I L S to grasp these and Shi'a/Sunni dynamics. Very, very helpful. Thanks.

SUZANNA's avatar

hey cassie- pandora’s box is opened and there’s no going back according to the ancients- good on you for doing what you do 🕊️

Any Person's avatar

Good compendium for people who haven't been paying attention or got all their info from the MSM, but little new info or insight for regular consumers of Mearsheimer and the Judge Nap interview group.

As should be expected, any predictions are conditional on too many variables to be seen as any more than an exploration of options. Iran is in the driver's seat, as is Russia in Ukraine. They will dictate pace on the wider scale, while adjusting for whatever episodic idiocy Trumpty Dumbdy, Nutty-yhoo and Zelensky get up to with the blessing of their Zio-Rothschild Class handlers.

Note that Trump has apparently committed to 'US boots on the ground' in Iran, as this is HOPED it will be sufficient distraction to not result in further destruction of Israel, US bases and GCC puppet states. I think the US/Israel are dead wrong, that any incursion will result in the deaths of most of the US soldiers involved, as well as increased Iranian drone-missile attacks, especially where the US ground attacks launch from. Given what Larry Johnson explained today, Jordan may get a big surprise.

Add in that Iran has revealed its ability to shoot down F15/16/35 jets and tankers, a main 'support vector' is at high risk. The Lincoln group has been chased to at least 1,100 km from its original 350km position, and the Ford is on its way to Cypress for repairs on an undetermined timeline, possibly months. US supply ships sunk.

Whether Iran can accurately hit further destinations such as Diego Garcia and Eastern/Central Mediterranean is yet to be made clear.

Steven Work's avatar

Dear John {I found another YT political influencer. We were good together while it lasted, but now .. .}

Sorry, that simply was inspire by the greeting phrase.

The following is a rant about censorship on YouTube and in general, and then false-witnessing, with suggestion on how a society as plagued with lies and mind-raping sociopaths in power, after that is a bit on replacing the UN with something much better than the Pres. Trump's "Elite psychopaths' Gang of Peace" I think you and perhaps many others would benefit by considering. An Abrahamic world-wide Justice system, because the basics that all the major orthodox religious can agree on, would be those basics from Natural Law and acceptable or embraced by everyone that wants to live in a True, Just, Ordered, Sane, Charitable, Loving, Protecting, Sharing, Merciful, Meaningful world that we can want to have large families and greater and greater share communities in.

--------- Censoring Rant, anyone that Censers or Manipulates information believes they are our Masters and are dangerous sociopaths that want to coin our ignorance or false beliefs and our sufferings and deaths. Their breathing is a potential threat to us and others -------

-------------------------------------- further rant ------------------

Thank you, John, for put this and hopefully every interview you are involved with. I gave up in frustration placing significant comments on YouTube with its neuronic and selective topic censorship. The unclear lines that triggers censorship is likely designed to cause all commenters to increasingly self-censorship until those mind-kicked enough that anything more than 'nice cat video' is suppressed.

Please consider suggesting all other influencers you interact with that the value of whatever they are involved with increases greatly for them and their followers when the audience may contribute to the subjects discussed. And not require payment - I and many live on poverty level fixed pensions, and when an economic class is excluded, they and audience are may poorer, and frankly it reflects very badly on them, and shouts that them and those who do such can not be as informed as they could or should be because if they exclude audience information and feedback, they likely have other retarding vices.

Interfering with all our and all the future people freedom-to-listen and think is not only a crime against everyone that would have listened, but what kind of sociopaths think they have the moral right to control and manipulate what we hear, read, see, and ultimately think? That level of contempt for God and Man defines them as dangerous to us and all we love or could love, they would and do turn their victims of mind-raping into programmed golems they would and do enslave and us like any tool they own and feel a right to harm others and us and profit, the dispose of the moment the victims fail to be of use.

.. as if we are soulless cattle shaped like humans for their use abuse and destructions for profit or pleasure.

The Right phrased as 'freedom-of-speech' suggest that stopping and censoring a person from making statement they would have others hear is a crime against that person, but it clearly is not, it's a crime against everyone and the future.

A great deal of my promising life was made rancid and filled with pain because information that I should of learned, and would have in any sane healthy society like this Western majority-white Christian-virtue values-based Patriarchal society was before it was sickened to delusional hyper-feminized insane-accepting masculine-destroying, fatherhood and motherhood rejecting, ... this Satanic Clown-world which I argue really took effect when we all were forced by threat of violence (Law) to accept the insane and evil of mothers hiring Witches and their minions to torture to death our silently scream unborn babies of their whimsy.

My daughter was murdered unborn long before I knew she existed, and God's Blessing to her, to me, to her mother, to society, nation, world and God was murder with her, and it would not be unJust for me to choose (if given the choice) to have every non-repenting abortionist and supporter publicly hanged to have her or any one of those victims back.

And besides making every false-witnesser would at the least publicly pain & shamed, taken to a public location at a known time once a week and secured to a pole or such anchor and a collar placed around neck and a set tasering loving correction be administered.

Detailed specifics on what 'false-witnesser' covers is not included - such as intentionally mis-framing or not including information that any reasonable person would know to provide, but like most suggestions and ideas the reader is asked to have some Christian virtue and no assume bad intent of incompetence. 'false-witness' would be well defined and agreed upon by many trustworthy wise men, as would be the setting for the punishment, and be open for public debate.

The point that at 15 yo the young adult would have or should have or perhaps be require to witness at least one liar pissing in screaming in public for the crimes and harms to us all and them for intentionally bring unTruth, inJustice, disOrder, Pains and suffering and perhaps deaths, for generations when parent teach their childen and other what they believe is true and is not.

Of course, additional punishment may be called for, like those that created and those that intentionally false-witness that Iraq had weapons of mass destruction to start a war, they and often many or all adults in their blood suffer that which followed man of our sons and brothers, to be locked in a Humvee and burned alive, in public and video streamed around the world and the future, perhaps with a message - "if you lie and people die, this is your wage. If you raise such a monster, this is your wage, if you knowingly support such a monster and their lies, this is your wage."

------------------------------------------

The Abrahamic world-wide Justice System would be one superior Court, and one court for each region of the world.

Each court would be have 9 Orthodox Justices;

3 Christians, 3 Jews, 3 Muslims. Most populus sects or each.

And have Just Actions over issues that harms or acts with Contempt of Man and God is issues related to; Shared Commandments, Natural Law, Freedom in Hearing, freedom of Conversion, freedom of Worship (or not to worship), ...

More details in article. Ignore 'Poke-King' office aspects except in that under an Exorcised Church with a Catholic Pope such a world project would be possible.

How else?

Recruit most Abrahamic religious leaders, and peoples that are tire of suffering this level of Hell Satan now rules.

More Here in Apologetic article, this YT mirror of audio overview of article; https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4NkpLdRpzrQ

--

".. By the Will of God, Our First possible 'Treatise Concerning ..' From Offices of Papal-King" https://stevenwork.substack.com/p/multiverse-journal-index-number-2228, https://archive.is/aEcrq

--

All considered feedback welcome!

God Bless., Steve

PS. Here is my Apologetic addressing the Key-Log event that damaged Mankind - perhaps fatally - and turned a sane world into this Cross we must suffer. Combining and expanding on Saint Aquinas theology and modern Psychology theory.

YouTube Mirror of generated overview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T10Il3Ae-Q0

"Multiverse Journal - Index Number 2225:, 21st July 2025, The Profound Sickness: An Anti-Abortion Apologetic" https://stevenwork.substack.com/p/multiverse-journal-index-number-2225https://archive.ph/49BDF

Any Person's avatar

"An Abrahamic world-wide Justice system"

I seldom resort to profanity, but that 'idea' deserves only one clear and unyielding response:

NO FUCKING WAY!!!!

The main driver of the wars and disruptions we now face worldwide are Oligarchs and politicians who (at least claim) their 'moral structure' and 'right to dominate' come from... the Abrahamic Texts and their derivative religions.

Christianity alone has over 50,000 denominations and cults (or sects if you prefer). Judaism and Islam are more tightly grouped, but even the broad Orthodox-Reform and Shia-Sunni divides generate violent internal conflict.

Pretending that an international judicial system can be based on the chaos that is the Abrahamic Texts is a fool's errand. How can any rational system be contrived from the BibleS (there are multiple contested versions), Torah/Talmud and Quran+ to be remotely functional, especially since over half the world doesn't believe in those religions.

The ICC and ICJ backed by the UN Charters (Of Human Rights particularly) and the Nuremberg Code would be more than sufficient if all the major powers signed on and respected the existing international laws. The US is the major non-signatory to the ICC/ICJ. and under Trumpty, regular transgressor... well THERE'S yer problem.

So stop trying to jam your warmongering religions down our throats.

Steven Work's avatar

I might take you seriously if you bother to read the article.

Perhaps you are just another BOT.

If not, you doing a good job of acting like a mindless satanic golem program.

Really impressive.

It worked - a few minutes of my Blessed life pissed-on to respond to something acting human but is not .. likely.

If you happen to hu8man, God Bless. Steve

Any Person's avatar

Good try, with the standard attempt to claim the 'nice, superior 'status by claiming 'God' will 'bless' me on your special status to bestow such an exhortation. If 'God' wants to bless or damn me to Hell, he can show up and do it himself. I've been waiting over a half-century, since I walked away from religion in my youth, for 'God' to show up as incessantly put forward by every Believer who had the temerity to try that mind-game on me.

Take the log out of your own eye before you come for the sliver in mine.

Let's cut to the chase... make history, be the first human EVER to TANGIBLY prove your 'God', which all your narrative depends on, ACTUALLY EXISTS. Without referring to the Human-written Abrahamic Texts or derivatives and related 'philosophies'.

Independent, scientifically verified, in the here-and-now, PROOF. NOT Faith, nor Belief.

Cold, hard PROOF.

I'll save you and readers the time and effort... you can't. No theologian, nor philosopher, nor scientist EVER has done it, despite literal millennia of attempts and libraries full to the brim with such circular 'logic'.

Y'all can't agree on the basics, and you want to run the world...

You can force this 'discussion' to go on for many pages, but I won't back down and you can't provide the simple fundamental proof required to support your claims. All comers, even here at John's Substack, have tried and failed.

Quit now and save us all a lot of unnecessary grief.

P.S. attempting to bring down hoards of believers by Restacking will not change anything. I will only reply to you on this, trying to gang-bully me will not work and reflects badly on you and them.

Bradley Grower's avatar

Hey John: U.S. has broken all barriers of reason with their continuing lies & unprovoked attacks.

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/23/unprecedented-israel-us-carry-out-extensive-strikes-across-iran