Russia Has Red Lines & Nuclear Weapons
On 25 June 2026, I was on the”Deep Dive” with Lt. Col. (ret.) Danny Davis. We talked at some length about events in Iran, where the US and Iran are once again engaged in tit-for-tat attacks. One might think the US has decided to get tough with Iran and settle this conflict once and for all. Think again. The US has no military option for winning this war, which is why the US signed the Memorandum of Understanding, which is effectively a surrender document, on 17 June 2026. Engaging in a new round of tit-for-tat attacks only makes a bad situation worse.
Danny and I also talked about Russia’s toughening attitude toward Ukraine and its Western backers, who seem to think that Russia has no red lines and they can launch massive drone attacks into the Russian homeland without fear of Russia striking targets in Europe. Think again. There are clear signs that Russia has red lines, which its leaders believe Ukraine and its allies are close to crossing or maybe have crossed.
A couple of Oreschniks or a single low intensity tactical nuke targeting NATO's military logistics airport located at Rzeszow in southern Poland would put an end to Ukraine's military hardware supply and also send a "red line" message to USA and NATO that Russia says "enough!"
The U.S. /Israeli objective is regional dominance. Cooperation is not in the cards. War, in one form or another, is the only card they are ever going to play. They are irrational actors. They have a fully developed arsenal for the purpose of domination, including nuclear weapons. This, to most of us, is the Realist perspective.